In statistics, many time series exhibit cyclic variation known as seasonality, defined as the repetitive and predictable movement around the trend line. It is detected by measuring the quantity of interest for small time intervals, such as days, weeks, months or quarters. The best known seasonal progression is the outdoor temperature. Based on the time of the year, you probably know the range of temperatures you can expect.
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The risk of loss in trading commodities can be substantial. You should therefore carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your financial condition. The high degree of leverage that is often obtainable in commodity trading can work against you as well for you. The use of leverage can lead to large losses as well as gains. Past results are not indicative of future results. Hypothetical performance results have many inherent limitations, some of which are described below. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown. In fact, there are sharp differences between hypothetical performance results and the actual results subsequently achieved by any particular trading program. One of the limitations of hypothetical performance results is that they are generally prepared with the benefit of hindsight.
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